Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 8.326106 9.684866 11.146891 12.831326 14.712587 16.743150 19.094591
2025-03-23 6.610523 8.370519 10.388648 12.854509 15.765656 19.072341 23.090415
2025-03-30 5.401080 7.362235 9.736551 12.782661 16.543835 20.991495 26.600515
2025-04-06 4.606486 6.703532 9.365831 12.926624 17.491076 23.069376 30.317553
2025-04-13 3.991412 6.169512 9.056763 13.064323 18.372361 25.045640 33.938713
2025-04-20 3.584131 5.849180 8.969277 13.442518 19.536166 27.382822 38.063029
2025-04-27 3.210649 5.520700 8.821160 13.698355 20.516432 29.489229 41.936787
2025-05-04 2.821836 5.115454 8.514319 13.688653 21.105901 31.073094 45.151956
2025-05-11 2.343955 4.507925 7.846696 13.096523 20.826852 31.446615 46.733464
2025-05-18 2.030710 4.122977 7.471186 12.889492 21.058162 32.497027 49.232506
2025-05-25 1.742897 3.741275 7.059990 12.587105 21.115648 33.283528 51.367270
2025-06-01 1.523240 3.449231 6.762083 12.429344 21.363318 34.328549 53.872928
2025-06-08 1.300660 3.122701 6.378066 12.108190 21.346801 34.993886 55.870087
2025-06-15 1.168490 2.951347 6.241963 12.175230 21.922448 36.533137 59.153751
2025-06-22 1.035284 2.758110 6.047139 12.125572 22.302840 37.784185 62.042202
2025-06-29 0.943460 2.638128 5.972907 12.271879 22.995475 39.517774 65.676760
2025-07-06 0.860053 2.524010 5.897794 12.407562 23.669760 41.236030 69.324380
2025-07-13 0.810555 2.479832 5.951765 12.772134 24.731291 43.575440 73.954217
2025-07-20 0.752698 2.407289 5.942499 13.018450 25.599669 45.632852 78.200016
2025-07-27 0.675576 2.275275 5.800780 13.009423 26.029594 47.006889 81.429078
2025-08-03 0.558676 2.019778 5.377542 12.441044 25.466046 46.776161 82.171838
2025-08-10 0.486264 1.867990 5.157433 12.242374 25.530996 47.546301 84.474638
2025-08-17 0.416155 1.707718 4.900975 11.952195 25.414726 48.009662 86.296672